Welcome to “Empire Chat.” If this is your first visit, please take a moment to read “About the Blog.” If you would like to participate by commenting on the postings, please take a moment to “Register.” You may also “Subscribe” to simply receive an email when a new post is submitted. If you are a registered user, be sure to participate in our latest poll at the bottom of this page. As always, if you need assistance, please contact support@nysfaaa.org.

For quick access to “Empire Chat” on your mobile device, simply scan the QR Code above.

All registered users are designated as ‘Contributors’ with authorization to post articles and comments. All articles must be approved by an Editor before they are posted. Click Here to download the ‘Contributor Quick Start Guide.”

State, Free College Programs

How ‘Free’ Are State Free College Programs?

More than a dozen states now offer grants, often called scholarships, promising to help qualifying students pay for some or all of their college education. In fact, that word, “promise,” shows up again and again in these programs’ official names.

Sometimes referred to as “free college” programs, most are relatively new, sparked by the relentless rise in college costs and by a desire among state leaders to improve college access, especially for low-income students.  To help measure and make sense of states’ free college efforts, the report used eight criteria, with a particular focus on equity. None of the programs managed a perfect score. Only one, in Washington, met seven of the criteria.

  • Covers at least four years of tuition andcovers a bachelor’s degree at a four-year institution: These first two criteria are close cousins. The idea behind both is that when a state only covers tuition for two years of schooling — or excludes traditional, four-year institutions — it often ends up channeling students into lower-quality programs that have lower graduation rates and offer limited job prospects.
  • Helps low-income students cover living expensesand covers fees in addition to tuition: “[Students] have to eat. They have to have shelter. They have to buy books,” says Tiffany Jones, director of higher education policy at The Education Trust. “If a politician is selling a program saying, ‘I’m making college free,’ and they’re not dealing with any of that stuff except for tuition, that can be really problematic.”
  • Includes adults and returning students: More than a third of students currently enrolled in a higher education program are 25 or older. Yet The Education Trust found that just two free college programs, in Hawaii and Tennessee, currently include older or returning students.
  • No college G.P.A requirement above 2.0, or a C-average
  • Allows students to enroll half-time: This is a big one for low-income or older students who want or need to work while they’re in school. More than half of current free college programs prohibit this kind of part-time enrollment.
  • Grant does not convert to a loan if criteria isn’t met

Below is a review of 15 of these statewide programs*

What (And Who) State ‘Free College’ Programs Cover

State Living costs for low-income students Fees for all recipients At least 4 years of college Tuition at 4-year colleges Adult and returning students Students with a 2.0 GPA Students enrolling half time Stays a grant forever
California (California College Promise Grant*) Yes No No No No Yes No Yes
Delaware (SEED Scholarship) No No No No No No No Yes
Hawaii (Hawaii Promise Scholarship) No Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes
Indiana (21st Century Scholars) Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No Yes
Louisiana (TOPS Opportunity Award) Yes No Yes Yes No No No Yes
Maryland (Guaranteed Access Grant) Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No Yes
Missouri (A+ Scholarship) No Yes No No No No No Yes
Montana (Montana Promise*) No No No No Yes No Yes Yes
Nevada (Nevada Promise Scholarship) No Yes No No No Yes No Yes
New York (Excelsior Scholarship) No No Yes Yes No Yes No No
Oklahoma (Oklahoma’s Promise) Yes No Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes
Oregon (Oregon Promise Grant) No No No No No Yes Yes Yes
Rhode Island (Rhode Island Promise Scholarship) No Yes No No No No No Yes
Tennessee (Tennessee Promise Scholarship, Tennessee Reconnect Grant) No Yes No No Yes Yes No Yes
Washington (College Bound Scholarship) Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes

Note: *The programs in California and Montana are not yet active.

Source: The Education Trust

College students predicted to fall by more than 15% after the year 2025

Only a handful of states, colored in blue, are predicted to see an increase in the number of students attending regional four-year colleges and universities between 2012 and 2029. The rest will see declines in students. In the red-colored states, the drop in students will exceed 15%. The dots represent large metropolitan areas. These urban college markets, such as San Diego, may diverge from their state’s or region’s trends. 

What does the declining birthrate mean for colleges and universities and the students who hope to get a college degree a decade from now? The answer depends on where you live in the United States and how selective the college is. For most colleges and universities, the outlook is grim. But that could be a good thing for their future students.




Declining COAs – OpEd

 Colleges Drop Tuition to Lure Students

Schools are decreasing their advertised costs after enrollment drops and consumer backlash.

IT MAY HAVE BEEN ONE OF the biggest back-to-school sales ever: a 36 percent drop in the advertised cost of a college education.

That’s what awaited students this fall at Mills College, one of a growing number of higher-education institutions that have started freezing or dropping their prices in the face of a years-long enrollment decline and heightened price sensitivity.

The 1,300-student private college in Oakland, California, which like many private colleges has been having trouble attracting students, dropped its sticker price from $45,000 to $29,000 a year.

“We listened to our prospective students and their families, who said the cost was prohibitive for them,” says Mills President Elizabeth Hillman. “We want more students to apply.”

It’s an increasingly common example of market forces finally coming to bear on college costs, which have consistently grown much faster than prices for other goods and services thanks to a steady supply of students. In the 10 years ending in 2016, college tuition and fees rose 63 percent, or three times the rate of everything else tracked by the Consumer Price Index, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports.

Today, however, because of a decline in the number of 18- to 24-year-olds and an improving economy that is sucking people straight into the workforce, colleges have 2.9 million fewer customers than they did at the last peak, in 2011, according to the National Student Clearinghouse, which tracks this.

Meanwhile, almost seven in 10 parents said in a survey that they had eliminated colleges from consideration for their children because of the cost. In another survey, only 44 percent of Americans said private, nonprofit universities and colleges are worth what they charge.

More colleges are realizing there’s no point having high sticker prices if they’re discouraging prospective applicants and few students are actually paying them, said Sandy Baum, an independent higher-education consultant and retired economics professor.

“It’s very much a strategic decision,” Baum says. “They’re looking at, will we get more applicants if we lower our sticker price? It works for some of them and it really doesn’t work out for others.”

More and more are giving it a try.

Drew University, Sweet Briar College, Birmingham-Southern College, Benedict College and the University of Sioux Falls all reduced their advertised tuition starting this year. Old Dominion University is lowering the price of undergraduate tuition for active-duty military service members. Champlain College cut tuition in half for students in its online program, part of a strategy to increase enrollment.

Concerned about Illinois high school graduates leaving for colleges in other states, the University of Illinois system is in the fourth year of a tuition freeze. The University of Colorado has cut fees. Five South Dakota universities are offering lower in-state tuition this fall to freshmen and transfer students from Nebraska; the University of Nebraska at Kearney will extend the deal next year to residents of Colorado and Kansas. The University of Missouri-Kansas City, meanwhile, is offering lower resident tuition to students from Kansas and other midwestern states.

Some of the seeming price drops are sleight of hand. Most students don’t pay the advertised price for college, but, after receiving discounts and financial aid, end up owing a lower “net price.” At private colleges, that comes to about half as much, says Lucie Lapovsky, a pricing consultant. And as the stream of students has dried up, those discounts have been getting deeper.

Colleges like Mills are simply changing their advertised prices to something closer to the average of what students actually pay, though Mills says most students will still see their costs decline.

Birmingham-Southern spent 14 months doing research before cutting its tuition, says President Linda Flaherty-Goldsmith. The 1,283-student Alabama college, which was already giving its students discounts that reduced its advertised price by an average of more than two-thirds, found that 80 percent of local families would not consider a college with tuition as high as the amount it said it charged.

“We were missing a huge part of our potential market,” says Flaherty-Goldsmith. “The sticker price was keeping people away – the perception, rather than the reality.”

The same was true at New Jersey’s Drew University, where the sticker price is dropping from $48,336 to $38,668 this fall. The high price was “completely disproportionate” to the market, says Drew University President MaryAnn Baenninger.

“Higher-income students were saying, ‘You cost the same as Princeton. If I can get into Princeton, why would I choose Drew?'” Baenninger says. “The sticker price was untenable.”

Several private colleges have seen such price cuts pay off quickly. Utica College, which reduced its tuition in 2016, lowered its dropout rate, Utica College President Laura Casamento says. Sweet Briar College, which nearly shut down three years ago, expects that its tuition cut will increase the number of new students on the campus by 42 percent this fall over last fall, says Melissa Richards, vice president for enrollment management.

The last time this happened on a large scale was when law schools froze or lowered their tuitionbeginning in 2011 in response to a dramatic enrollment decline that followed a downturn in the demand for lawyers.

One reason private colleges have not cut prices in the past is because families equated high prices with high quality.

That attitude appears to be changing: Student loan provider Sallie Mae found last year that families were less likely than in 2008 to perceive expensive colleges as necessarily being better than less-expensive ones.

Yet when the University of Charleston in West Virginia cut prices by more than 20 percent in 2012 — and cut scholarships too — the small private college suffered an unexpected sharp drop in enrollment. The school quickly reversed course, in 2014, by raising tuition sharply and reinstating scholarships, and its enrollment bounced back.

Families had trouble understanding why Charleston was offering less of a discount than its competitors, said Joan Clark, the school’s chief admissions and marketing officer, even though its price had dropped below those of its competitors.

“It was difficult to get them to look at the bottom line,” Clark said. “People want to be proud to say, ‘I got this $5,000 scholarship.’ We really thought people would understand we were more affordable.”

Casamento, in a 2016 doctoral dissertation, found that cutting tuition helped bring in more revenue for about half the schools she studied — not less.

Still, said Casamento, it doesn’t work for everybody. “You have to have a good story to tell the market,” she said. “If price is your only story, that’s not a good recipe for success.”

Will more colleges lower prices in coming years?

“My instinct is yes,” Lapovsky said, “but people are afraid of change.”

U.S. News & World Report: This story was produced by The Hechinger Report, a nonprofit, independent news organization focused on inequality and innovation in education.